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How many copies did Dying Light: Bad Blood sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 116k–189k
from 4k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dying Light: Bad Blood and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dying Light: Bad Blood's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 618–6k
best case 10.6M (Hunt: Showdown 1896)
Games like Dying Light: Bad Blood

A typical game among these

≈ 618–6k copies

≈ $6k–$39k after Steam's cut

from ~125 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Hunt: Showdown 1896 at ≈ 8.0M–13.1M copies, ≈ $66.3M–$178.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 318.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Shooter (5 of 8) and Battle Royale (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + FPS, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Open World + Multiplayer + FPS; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Z1 Battle Royale
2018
Est. copies
≈ 6.2M–10.0M
1625x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
202k reviews
Mixed
SurvivalMassively Multiplayer
Hunt: Showdown 1896
2019
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–13.1M
2243x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$66.3M–$178.3M after Steam's cut $120.6M–$274.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
279k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldExtraction Shooter
REQUISITION VR
2023
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
3.9x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$66k–$177k after Steam's cut $119k–$272k before Steam's cut
$19.99
482 reviews
Mixed
VRAction
Zombie Shooter: Ares Virus
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5k–7k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$26k before Steam's cut
$4.99
185 reviews
Mostly Negative
ZombiesShooter
Deadly Kingdom
2019
Est. copies
≈ 58–94
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2 reviews
2 user reviews
ActionIndie
FOREST OF THE DEAD
2020
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$163–$439 after Steam's cut $297–$675 before Steam's cut
$5.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
ActionGore
Borderwatch: Dark Armada
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut
$9.99
64 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionStrategy
Fight or Flight
2026
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
189 reviews
Mixed

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