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How many copies did Chromosome Evil sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9k–14k
$37k–$99k after Steam's cut $67k–$152k before Steam's cut
from 359 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Chromosome Evil and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Chromosome Evil's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8.6M–25.9M
best case 99.7M (Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege)
Games like Chromosome Evil

A typical game among these

≈ 8.6M–25.9M copies

≈ $116.8M–$200.4M after Steam's cut

from ~325k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege at ≈ 76.0M–123.4M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 32k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 165k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (6 of 8) and Shooter (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Tactical.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2004 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Squad
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.0M–9.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$66.5M–$178.7M after Steam's cut $120.8M–$274.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
244k reviews
Very Positive
MilitaryRealistic
Battlefield™ 1
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$62.3M–$167.4M after Steam's cut $113.2M–$257.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
228k reviews
Very Positive
FPSMultiplayer
Counter-Strike: Source
2004
Est. copies
≈ 12.2M–19.9M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$33.6M–$90.3M after Steam's cut $61.0M–$138.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
193k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ShooterFPS
Battlefield™ V
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.7M–10.9M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$92.2M–$247.8M after Steam's cut $167.6M–$381.2M before Steam's cut
$49.99
270k reviews
Mostly Positive
FPSMultiplayer
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
2015
Est. copies
≈ 76.0M–123.4M
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.6M reviews
Very Positive
FPSPvP
Sid Meier’s Civilization® VI
2016
Est. copies
≈ 15.8M–25.7M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$260.5M–$700.4M after Steam's cut $473.7M–$1077.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
380k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Call of Duty®
2022
Est. copies
≈ 19.4M–31.5M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
782k reviews
Mixed
FPSMultiplayer
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.7M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
683k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival

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