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How many copies did Call of Duty® sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 19.4M–31.5M
from 782k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Call of Duty® and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Call of Duty®'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 64.0M–102.8M
best case 820.1M (Counter-Strike 2)
Games like Call of Duty®

A typical game among these

≈ 64.0M–102.8M copies

≈ $274.3M–$520.6M after Steam's cut

from ~1.3M reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Counter-Strike 2 at ≈ 624.8M–1015.3M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (5 of 8) and Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter. The breakout hits carry Action + FPS + Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2018, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
2015
Est. copies
≈ 76.0M–123.4M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.6M reviews
Very Positive
FPSPvP
Team Fortress 2
2007
Est. copies
≈ 79.1M–128.6M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.3M reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayHero Shooter
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 31.0M–50.3M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Counter-Strike 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 624.8M–1015.3M
7.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9.9M reviews
Very Positive
FPSShooter
Garry's Mod
2006
Est. copies
≈ 80.0M–130.1M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut $399.8M–$909.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.3M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxModdable
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 95.8M–155.7M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.8M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Left 4 Dead 2
2009
Est. copies
≈ 67.0M–108.9M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$184.1M–$495.0M after Steam's cut $334.7M–$761.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.1M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesCo-op
Rust
2018
Est. copies
≈ 42.7M–69.3M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$469.3M–$1261.8M after Steam's cut $853.3M–$1941.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
1.4M reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalCrafting

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.