Sign in
wishvane

How big is Team Fortress 2?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 79.1M–128.6M
from 1.3M reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Team Fortress 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Team Fortress 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–6.2M
best case 34.9M (Apex Legends™)
Games like Team Fortress 2

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–6.2M copies

≈ $5.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut

from ~39k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Apex Legends™ at ≈ 26.6M–43.2M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the range was 55 to 76k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Shooter (6 of 8) and FPS (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Battle Royale + FPS.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Quake Champions
2022
Est. copies
≈ 972k–1.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
39k reviews
Mostly Positive
Arena ShooterHero Shooter
Plants vs. Zombies: Battle for Neighborville™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 468k–760k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.4M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
19k reviews
Mostly Positive
MultiplayerThird-Person Shooter
Apex Legends™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 26.6M–43.2M
28x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.1M reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayBattle Royale
Century: Age of Ashes
2021
Est. copies
≈ 456k–741k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
18k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayDragons
Paladins®
2018
Est. copies
≈ 10.5M–17.1M
8.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
345k reviews
Very Positive
Hero ShooterFree to Play
CRSED: Cuisine Royale
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
39k reviews
Mostly Positive
Battle RoyaleFree to Play
POLYGON
2020
Est. copies
≈ 918k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
37k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayFPS
Dirty Bomb®
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
57k reviews
Very Positive
Hero ShooterFree to Play

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.