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How big is Paladins®?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 10.5M–17.1M
from 345k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Paladins® and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Paladins®'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 761k–1.5M
best case 103.9M (Team Fortress 2)
Games like Paladins®

A typical game among these

≈ 761k–1.5M copies

≈ $5.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut

from ~38k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Team Fortress 2 at ≈ 79.1M–128.6M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the range was 55 to 76k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Shooter (6 of 8) and FPS (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter. The breakout hits carry FPS + Action + Class-Based; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Dirty Bomb®
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≈ 2.8M–4.5M
1.5x vs typical
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Hero ShooterFree to Play
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Free to PlayBattle Royale
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≈ 918k–1.5M
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Free to PlayFPS
Team Fortress 2
2007
Est. copies
≈ 79.1M–128.6M
33x vs typical
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Very Positive
Free to PlayHero Shooter
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Arena ShooterHero Shooter

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