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How big is Dirty Bomb®?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
from 57k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dirty Bomb® and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dirty Bomb®'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–1.4M
best case 103.9M (Team Fortress 2)
Games like Dirty Bomb®

A typical game among these

≈ 1.2M–1.4M copies

≈ $4.9M after Steam's cut

from ~39k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Team Fortress 2 at ≈ 79.1M–128.6M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 33k reviews in their first month; the range was 55 to 76k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (7 of 8) and Shooter (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter. The breakout hits carry Action + Team-Based; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Quake Champions
2022
Est. copies
≈ 972k–1.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
39k reviews
Mostly Positive
Arena ShooterHero Shooter
Team Fortress 2
2007
Est. copies
≈ 79.1M–128.6M
32x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.3M reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayHero Shooter
Primal Carnage: Extinction
2015
Est. copies
≈ 484k–786k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.2M before Steam's cut
$12.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
DinosaursMultiplayer
Apex Legends™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 26.6M–43.2M
28x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.1M reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayBattle Royale
CRSED: Cuisine Royale
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
39k reviews
Mostly Positive
Battle RoyaleFree to Play
Paladins®
2018
Est. copies
≈ 10.5M–17.1M
8.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
345k reviews
Very Positive
Hero ShooterFree to Play
POLYGON
2020
Est. copies
≈ 918k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
37k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayFPS
SUPERHOT VR
2017
Est. copies
≈ 334k–543k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
VRShooter

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