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How big is Century: Age of Ashes?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 456k–741k
from 18k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Century: Age of Ashes and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Century: Age of Ashes's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.5M–3.3M
best case 35.2M (ARK: Survival Evolved)
Games like Century: Age of Ashes

A typical game among these

≈ 2.5M–3.3M copies

≈ $19.9M–$48.2M after Steam's cut

from ~60k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Anime (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: ARK: Survival Evolved at ≈ 26.8M–43.5M copies, ≈ $110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Anime (3 of 8) and Fighting (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Open World Survival Craft + Survival + Dinosaurs; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ARK: Survival Evolved
2017
Est. copies
≈ 26.8M–43.5M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
779k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
ARK: The Survival Of The Fittest
2017
Est. copies
≈ 406k–660k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
12k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlaySurvival
Neverwinter
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
40k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayMMORPG
DRAGON BALL Z: KAKAROT
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.0M–$21.4M after Steam's cut $14.5M–$32.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
ActionRPG
DRAGON BALL FighterZ
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$38.6M–$103.7M after Steam's cut $70.1M–$159.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
77k reviews
Very Positive
FightingAnime
Minion Masters
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
65k reviews
Very Positive
PvETrading Card Game
Game of Thrones - A Telltale Games Series
2014
Est. copies
≈ 593k–964k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11k reviews
Mostly Positive
Story RichEpisodic
DRAGON BALL XENOVERSE 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.7M–$36.7M after Steam's cut $24.8M–$56.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
60k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeFighting

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