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How many copies did ARK: The Survival Of The Fittest sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 406k–660k
from 12k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ARK: The Survival Of The Fittest and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ARK: The Survival Of The Fittest's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 315k–605k
best case 35.2M (ARK: Survival Evolved)
Games like ARK: The Survival Of The Fittest

A typical game among these

≈ 315k–605k copies

≈ $926k–$4.0M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: ARK: Survival Evolved at ≈ 26.8M–43.5M copies, ≈ $110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Dinosaurs (8 of 8) and Open World (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Open World, priced around $17. The breakout hits carry Survival + Open World Survival Craft + Open World; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dino D-Day
2011
Est. copies
≈ 956k–1.6M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$10.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
DinosaursMultiplayer
ARK: Survival Evolved
2017
Est. copies
≈ 26.8M–43.5M
99x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
779k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Primal Carnage: Extinction
2015
Est. copies
≈ 484k–786k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.2M before Steam's cut
$12.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
DinosaursMultiplayer
PixARK
2019
Est. copies
≈ 393k–639k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.8M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
14k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World
The Isle
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5.9M–9.6M
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$32.6M–$87.7M after Steam's cut $59.3M–$134.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
122k reviews
Very Positive
DinosaursSurvival
theHunter: Primal
2015
Est. copies
≈ 198k–322k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Mixed
DinosaursSurvival
Dinosaur Hunt
2015
Est. copies
≈ 192k–312k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$52k–$140k after Steam's cut $95k–$216k before Steam's cut
$0.99
4k reviews
Mixed
DinosaursAction
Primal Carnage
2012
Est. copies
≈ 366k–594k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$502k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $913k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
6k reviews
Mostly Positive
DinosaursAction

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