How much revenue did The Isle make?

$32.6M–$87.7M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Isle sell?

Q: How many copies did The Isle sell?

5.9M to 9.6M copies, based on its 122k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 5.9M–9.6M; $32.6M–$87.7M after Steam's cut $59.3M–$134.9M before Steam's cut; from 122k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Isle and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Isle's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 524k–894k

best case 35.2M (ARK: Survival Evolved)

Games like The Isle

A typical game among these

≈ 524k–894k copies

≈ $4.2M–$4.6M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: ARK: Survival Evolved at ≈ 26.8M–43.5M copies, ≈ $110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Dinosaurs (7 of 8) and Open World (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $45. The breakout hits carry Building + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
ARK: Survival Evolved 2017	Est. copies ≈ 26.8M–43.5M 57x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	779k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Jurassic World Evolution 2 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M 3.5x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $19.3M–$51.9M after Steam's cut $35.1M–$79.9M before Steam's cut	$59.99	47k reviews Very Positive	DinosaursBuilding
Jurassic World Evolution 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.7M 4.1x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $20.8M–$55.9M after Steam's cut $37.8M–$86.1M before Steam's cut	$44.99	55k reviews Very Positive	BuildingDinosaurs
PixARK 2019	Est. copies ≈ 393k–639k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.2M–$5.8M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	14k reviews Mostly Positive	SurvivalOpen World
Far Cry® Primal 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M 3.0x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $14.2M–$38.2M after Steam's cut $25.9M–$58.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	41k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldSurvival
Dino D-Day 2011	Est. copies ≈ 956k–1.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.6M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$10.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	15k reviews Very Positive	DinosaursMultiplayer
ARK: Survival Ascended 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.8M 8.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $36.3M–$97.7M after Steam's cut $66.0M–$150.3M before Steam's cut	$44.99	118k reviews Mixed	Early AccessSurvival
ARK: The Survival Of The Fittest 2017	Est. copies ≈ 406k–660k SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	12k reviews Mixed	Free to PlaySurvival