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How many copies did Primal Carnage sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 366k–594k
$502k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $913k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
from 6k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Primal Carnage and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Primal Carnage's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.3M–4.8M
best case 35.2M (ARK: Survival Evolved)
Games like Primal Carnage

A typical game among these

≈ 2.3M–4.8M copies

≈ $36.3M–$65.3M after Steam's cut

from ~118k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: ARK: Survival Evolved at ≈ 26.8M–43.5M copies, ≈ $110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 25k reviews in their first month; the range was 6k to 30k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Dinosaurs (6 of 8) and Building (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Open World Survival Craft + Crafting + Survival; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ARK: Survival Ascended
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$36.3M–$97.7M after Steam's cut $66.0M–$150.3M before Steam's cut
$44.99
118k reviews
Mixed
Early AccessSurvival
ARK: Survival Evolved
2017
Est. copies
≈ 26.8M–43.5M
6.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
779k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Horizon Zero Dawn™ Complete Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
128k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAdventure
Jurassic World Evolution 2
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$19.3M–$51.9M after Steam's cut $35.1M–$79.9M before Steam's cut
$59.99
47k reviews
Very Positive
DinosaursBuilding
The Isle
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5.9M–9.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$32.6M–$87.7M after Steam's cut $59.3M–$134.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
122k reviews
Very Positive
DinosaursSurvival
Total War: WARHAMMER II
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.2M–6.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$68.9M–$185.3M after Steam's cut $125.3M–$285.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
121k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyFantasy
ORION: Prelude
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$488k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $887k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$0.99
28k reviews
Mostly Positive
DinosaursAction
Jurassic World Evolution
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.8M–$55.9M after Steam's cut $37.8M–$86.1M before Steam's cut
$44.99
55k reviews
Very Positive
BuildingDinosaurs

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