How much revenue did ORION: Prelude make?

$488k–$1.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did ORION: Prelude sell?

Q: How many copies did ORION: Prelude sell?

1.8M to 2.9M copies, based on its 28k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.8M–2.9M; $488k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $887k–$2.0M before Steam's cut; from 28k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ORION: Prelude and predicted how it would do from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including ORION: Prelude's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 217k–425k

best case 1.3M (Dino D-Day)

Games like ORION: Prelude

A typical game among these

≈ 217k–425k copies

≈ $91k–$1.9M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 7 similar games are hits.

Best case: Dino D-Day at ≈ 956k–1.6M copies, ≈ $2.6M–$7.1M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Dinosaurs (6 of 7) and Shooter (5 of 7).
The winners: Winners here lead with Dinosaurs + World War II, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Dinosaur Hunt 2015	Est. copies ≈ 192k–312k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $52k–$140k after Steam's cut $95k–$216k before Steam's cut	$0.99	4k reviews Mixed	DinosaursAction
theHunter: Primal 2015	Est. copies ≈ 198k–322k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	4k reviews Mixed	DinosaursSurvival
Primal Carnage 2012	Est. copies ≈ 366k–594k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $502k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $913k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$4.99	6k reviews Mostly Positive	DinosaursAction
Dino D-Day 2011	Est. copies ≈ 956k–1.6M 3.1x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.6M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$10.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	15k reviews Very Positive	DinosaursMultiplayer
Bloody Glimpse 2017	Est. copies ≈ 9k–14k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut	$0.99	258 reviews Mixed	ActionIndie
Guardians of Orion (Phase 2) 2016	Est. copies ≈ 150k–244k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $41k–$110k after Steam's cut $74k–$169k before Steam's cut	$0.99	4k reviews Mixed	ActionDinosaurs
Second Extinction™ 2020	Est. copies ≈ 157k–255k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	6k reviews Mixed	Early AccessDinosaurs