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How many copies did theHunter: Primal sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 198k–322k
from 4k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid theHunter: Primal and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including theHunter: Primal's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 507k–4.8M
best case 35.2M (ARK: Survival Evolved)
Games like theHunter: Primal

A typical game among these

≈ 507k–4.8M copies

≈ $3.5M–$63.6M after Steam's cut

from ~28k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: ARK: Survival Evolved at ≈ 26.8M–43.5M copies, ≈ $110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Dinosaurs (7 of 8) and Open World (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Primal Carnage
2012
Est. copies
≈ 366k–594k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$502k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $913k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
6k reviews
Mostly Positive
DinosaursAction
ARK: Survival Evolved
2017
Est. copies
≈ 26.8M–43.5M
28x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
779k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
The Isle
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5.9M–9.6M
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$32.6M–$87.7M after Steam's cut $59.3M–$134.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
122k reviews
Very Positive
DinosaursSurvival
Far Cry® Primal
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$14.2M–$38.2M after Steam's cut $25.9M–$58.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldSurvival
ARK: The Survival Of The Fittest
2017
Est. copies
≈ 406k–660k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
12k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlaySurvival
Beasts of Bermuda
2018
Est. copies
≈ 297k–482k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
10k reviews
Mixed
DinosaursSimulation
PixARK
2019
Est. copies
≈ 393k–639k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.8M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
14k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World
ARK: Survival Ascended
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$36.3M–$97.7M after Steam's cut $66.0M–$150.3M before Steam's cut
$44.99
118k reviews
Mixed
Early AccessSurvival

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