How many copies did Neverwinter sell?

2.5M to 4.1M copies, based on its 40k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did Neverwinter make?

Neverwinter is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is Neverwinter?

Estimated players who have it: ≈ 2.5M–4.1M; from 40k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Neverwinter and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Neverwinter's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.1M–7.5M

best case 35.2M (ARK: Survival Evolved)

Games like Neverwinter

A typical game among these

≈ 6.1M–7.5M copies

≈ $57.9M–$76.3M after Steam's cut

from ~120k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: ARK: Survival Evolved at ≈ 26.8M–43.5M copies, ≈ $110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share MMORPG (7 of 8) and Open World (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Open World Survival Craft + Survival + Dinosaurs; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Trove 2015	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.4M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	93k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayOpen World
FINAL FANTASY XIV Online 2014	Est. copies ≈ 4.8M–7.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $26.4M–$71.0M after Steam's cut $48.0M–$109.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	86k reviews Very Positive	MMORPGRPG
ARK: Survival Evolved 2017	Est. copies ≈ 26.8M–43.5M 6.5x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	779k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Path of Exile 2013	Est. copies ≈ 15.8M–25.7M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	250k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayDark Fantasy
SMITE® 2015	Est. copies ≈ 5.9M–9.5M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	120k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayMOBA
Path of Exile 2 2024	Est. copies ≈ 5.6M–9.1M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $46.4M–$124.6M after Steam's cut $84.3M–$191.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	227k reviews Mostly Positive	Action RPGHack and Slash
Lost Ark 2022	Est. copies ≈ 5.0M–8.2M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue Free	Free	203k reviews Mostly Positive	MMORPGFree to Play
Albion Online 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	94k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayMMORPG