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How big is Albion Online?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 2.9M–4.6M
from 94k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Albion Online and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Albion Online's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 245k–574k
best case 9.7M (New World: Aeternum)
Games like Albion Online

A typical game among these

≈ 245k–574k copies

≈ $6.7M–$6.9M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: New World: Aeternum at ≈ 7.4M–12.0M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 11k reviews in their first month; the range was 6k to 145k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share MMORPG (8 of 8) and Open World (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + MMORPG, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Action; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 1M–2M
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11k reviews
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New World: Aeternum
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.4M–12.0M
27x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
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297k reviews
Mixed
Open WorldMassively Multiplayer
Trove
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≈ 4.5M–7.4M
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Free to PlayOpen World
Black Desert
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.3M
8.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
94k reviews
Mostly Positive
MMORPGMassively Multiplayer
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2022
Est. copies
≈ 345k–561k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.2M after Steam's cut $6.9M–$15.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
14k reviews
Mixed
MMORPGSandbox
Myth of Empires
2024
Est. copies
≈ 437k–710k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.6M–$9.7M after Steam's cut $6.6M–$14.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
18k reviews
Mixed
BuildingOpen World Survival Craft
EverQuest II
2011
Est. copies
≈ 187k–304k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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Free
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Free to PlayRPG
RPG MO
2015
Est. copies
≈ 145k–236k
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