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How big is WAKFU?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 606k–985k
from 11k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid WAKFU and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including WAKFU's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 185k–317k
best case 1.4M (RISK: Global Domination)
Games like WAKFU

A typical game among these

≈ 185k–317k copies

≈ $2.5M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Turn-Based (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: RISK: Global Domination at ≈ 1.0M–1.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based (4 of 8) and Board Game (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Turn-Based + Multiplayer + Tanks; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

RISK: Global Domination
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
8.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
42k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
Faeria
2017
Est. copies
≈ 248k–403k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Card GameStrategy
Atlas Reactor
2016
Est. copies
≈ 220k–358k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
ShellShock Live
2020
Est. copies
≈ 883k–1.4M
7.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
TanksMultiplayer
Infinity Wars: Animated Trading Card Game
2014
Est. copies
≈ 194k–316k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
Touhou Big Big Battle
2018
Est. copies
≈ 123k–199k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessStrategy
Wizard101
2018
Est. copies
≈ 293k–476k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
10k reviews
Very Positive
ColorfulMMORPG
Age of Conquest IV
2016
Est. copies
≈ 117k–191k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayStrategy

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