How much revenue did FINAL FANTASY XIV Online make?

$26.4M–$71.0M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did FINAL FANTASY XIV Online sell?

Q: How many copies did FINAL FANTASY XIV Online sell?

4.8M to 7.8M copies, based on its 86k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4.8M–7.8M; $26.4M–$71.0M after Steam's cut $48.0M–$109.3M before Steam's cut; from 86k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid FINAL FANTASY XIV Online and predicted how it would do from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including FINAL FANTASY XIV Online's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.5M–21.4M

best case 35.2M (ARK: Survival Evolved)

Games like FINAL FANTASY XIV Online

A typical game among these

≈ 7.5M–21.4M copies

≈ $93.2M–$166.8M after Steam's cut

from ~162k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: ARK: Survival Evolved at ≈ 26.8M–43.5M copies, ≈ $110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share MMORPG (2 of 3) and Open World (2 of 3).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $15.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2017. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 43 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
SMITE® 2015	Est. copies ≈ 5.9M–9.5M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	120k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayMOBA
ARK: Survival Evolved 2017	Est. copies ≈ 26.8M–43.5M 4.8x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	779k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
The Elder Scrolls® Online 2017	Est. copies ≈ 5.6M–9.0M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $30.6M–$82.2M after Steam's cut $55.6M–$126.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	162k reviews Very Positive	RPGMMORPG