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How big is Path of Exile?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 15.8M–25.7M
from 250k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Path of Exile and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Path of Exile's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 402k–1.1M
best case 7.4M (Path of Exile 2)
Games like Path of Exile

A typical game among these

≈ 402k–1.1M copies

≈ $1.8M–$3.1M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Fantasy (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Path of Exile 2 at ≈ 5.6M–9.1M copies, ≈ $46.4M–$124.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Fantasy (3 of 8) and Souls-like (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action RPG + Hack and Slash, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry MMORPG + Isometric + Action RPG; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Path of Exile 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
23x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$46.4M–$124.6M after Steam's cut $84.3M–$191.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
227k reviews
Mostly Positive
Action RPGHack and Slash
Little Witch Nobeta
2022
Est. copies
≈ 249k–405k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.1M before Steam's cut
$24.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
CuteFunny
Enclave
2013
Est. copies
≈ 420k–682k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGAction
Mountain
2014
Est. copies
≈ 912k–1.5M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$248k–$668k after Steam's cut $452k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$0.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationIndie
Garfield Kart
2015
Est. copies
≈ 691k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$948k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Cult ClassicCombat Racing
Stoneshard: Prologue
2018
Est. copies
≈ 108k–176k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Very Positive
RPGAdventure
Risen 3 - Titan Lords
2014
Est. copies
≈ 363k–591k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGOpen World
Lords Of The Fallen™ 2014
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$9.6M–$25.9M after Steam's cut $17.5M–$39.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
21k reviews
Mixed
Souls-likeDark Fantasy

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