How much revenue did Little Witch Nobeta make?

$1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Little Witch Nobeta sell?

Q: How many copies did Little Witch Nobeta sell?

249k to 405k copies, based on its 10k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 249k–405k; $1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.1M before Steam's cut; from 10k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Little Witch Nobeta and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Little Witch Nobeta's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 851k–1.4M

best case 8.5M (DARK SOULS™ II: Scholar of the First Sin)

Games like Little Witch Nobeta

A typical game among these

≈ 851k–1.4M copies

≈ $6.4M–$13.9M after Steam's cut

from ~30k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: DARK SOULS™ II: Scholar of the First Sin at ≈ 6.5M–10.5M copies, ≈ $71.3M–$191.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 10k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 18k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Female Protagonist (6 of 8) and Souls-like (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Music + Rhythm, priced around $21. The breakout hits carry Casual + Difficult + Third Person; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
ENDER MAGNOLIA: Bloom in the Mist 2025	Est. copies ≈ 468k–760k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	19k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Metroidvania2D
Muse Dash 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M 4.0x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before Steam's cut	$2.99	122k reviews Very Positive	MusicRhythm
DARK SOULS™ II: Scholar of the First Sin 2015	Est. copies ≈ 6.5M–10.5M 4.4x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $71.3M–$191.8M after Steam's cut $129.7M–$295.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	133k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Bright Memory 2020	Est. copies ≈ 821k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.5M before Steam's cut	$7.99	33k reviews Very Positive	Female ProtagonistFPS
AI LIMIT 2025	Est. copies ≈ 921k–1.5M SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $8.9M–$23.8M after Steam's cut $16.1M–$36.6M before Steam's cut	$34.99	37k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeFemale Protagonist
NEKOPARA Vol. 1 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	27k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HentaiAnime
Hatsune Miku: Project DIVA Mega Mix+ 2022	Est. copies ≈ 590k–959k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.4M–$17.2M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.5M before Steam's cut	$39.39	24k reviews Very Positive	RhythmAnime
ENDER LILIES: Quietus of the Knights 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.9M 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.9M–$21.2M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.6M before Steam's cut	$24.99	46k reviews Very Positive	MetroidvaniaFemale Protagonist