How much revenue did Muse Dash make?

$2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Muse Dash sell?

Q: How many copies did Muse Dash sell?

3.5M to 5.7M copies, based on its 122k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3.5M–5.7M; $2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before Steam's cut; from 122k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Muse Dash and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Muse Dash's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 721k–1.6M

best case 3.2M (A Dance of Fire and Ice)

Games like Muse Dash

A typical game among these

≈ 721k–1.6M copies

≈ $7.1M–$17.8M after Steam's cut

from ~31k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: A Dance of Fire and Ice at ≈ 2.4M–3.9M copies, ≈ $4.0M–$10.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 24k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Music (8 of 8) and Rhythm (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Rhythm + Music, priced around $6.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2018 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
A Dance of Fire and Ice 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.4M–3.9M 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $4.0M–$10.7M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.5M before Steam's cut	$5.99	84k reviews Very Positive	RhythmMusic
Rhythm Doctor 2025	Est. copies ≈ 671k–1.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	27k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RhythmMusic
MUSYNX 2018	Est. copies ≈ 207k–336k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $227k–$610k after Steam's cut $413k–$939k before Steam's cut	$3.99	7k reviews Very Positive	RhythmMusic
Hi-Fi RUSH 2023	Est. copies ≈ 893k–1.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.4M–$19.8M after Steam's cut $13.4M–$30.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	36k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RhythmAction
Hatsune Miku: Project DIVA Mega Mix+ 2022	Est. copies ≈ 590k–959k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.4M–$17.2M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.5M before Steam's cut	$39.39	24k reviews Very Positive	RhythmAnime
Quaver 2022	Est. copies ≈ 425k–691k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	17k reviews Very Positive	RhythmFree to Play
Beat Saber 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	76k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	VRRhythm
DJMAX RESPECT V 2020	Est. copies ≈ 867k–1.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $11.9M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	35k reviews Very Positive	RhythmMusic