How many copies did Quaver sell?

425k to 691k copies, based on its 17k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did Quaver make?

Quaver is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is Quaver?

Estimated players who have it: ≈ 425k–691k; from 17k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Quaver and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Quaver's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 259k–276k

best case 47.6M (Geometry Dash)

Games like Quaver

A typical game among these

≈ 259k–276k copies

≈ $567k–$864k after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Geometry Dash at ≈ 36.2M–58.9M copies, ≈ $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Rhythm (8 of 8) and Music (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Rhythm + Music, priced around $13. The breakout hits carry Level Editor + Singleplayer + 2D; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
McOsu 2017	Est. copies ≈ 220k–358k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	6k reviews Very Positive	RhythmFree to Play
A Dance of Fire and Ice 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.4M–3.9M 13x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $4.0M–$10.7M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.5M before Steam's cut	$5.99	84k reviews Very Positive	RhythmMusic
Geometry Dash 2014	Est. copies ≈ 36.2M–58.9M 100x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut $90.4M–$205.7M before Steam's cut	$4.99	647k reviews Very Positive	DifficultMusic
Melody's Escape 2016	Est. copies ≈ 200k–325k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $549k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $998k–$2.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	5k reviews Very Positive	Music-Based Procedural GenerationRhythm
MUSYNX 2018	Est. copies ≈ 207k–336k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $227k–$610k after Steam's cut $413k–$939k before Steam's cut	$3.99	7k reviews Very Positive	RhythmMusic
Neon Beats 2019	Est. copies ≈ 189k–308k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Free to PlayRhythm
DJMAX RESPECT V 2020	Est. copies ≈ 867k–1.4M 5.4x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $11.9M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	35k reviews Very Positive	RhythmMusic
Beat Saber 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M 12x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	76k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	VRRhythm