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How many copies did Melody's Escape sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 200k–325k
$549k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $998k–$2.3M before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Melody's Escape and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Melody's Escape's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–13k
best case 38k (Soundfall)
Games like Melody's Escape

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–13k copies

≈ $4k–$75k after Steam's cut

from ~104 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Soundfall at ≈ 29k–47k copies, ≈ $237k–$638k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 39 reviews in their first month; the range was 11 to 563.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rhythm (8 of 8) and Music-Based Procedural Generation (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rhythm + Looter Shooter, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2020 to 2026, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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5.2x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
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Life SimMusic
Happy Oshare Time
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CasualRhythm
Dance Eden
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Early AccessAction
DanSparkling
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≈ 645–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$17.99
26 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessCasual
Melody's Escape 2
2026
Est. copies
≈ 9k–14k
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$36k–$96k after Steam's cut $65k–$148k before Steam's cut
$14.99
350 reviews
Very Positive
Music-Based Procedural GenerationRhythm
Phonk Cats
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≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
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CatsAction
Soundfall
2022
Est. copies
≈ 29k–47k
11x vs typical
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Est. revenue
$237k–$638k after Steam's cut $432k–$982k before Steam's cut
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SpermDash精疲力尽
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≈ 3k–4k
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Free
Free
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CasualParkour

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.