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How many copies did Melody's Escape 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9k–14k
$36k–$96k after Steam's cut $65k–$148k before Steam's cut
from 350 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Melody's Escape 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Melody's Escape 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 268k–560k
best case 2.9M (Beat Saber)
Games like Melody's Escape 2

A typical game among these

≈ 268k–560k copies

≈ $1.7M–$3.3M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Beat Saber at ≈ 2.2M–3.6M copies, ≈ $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rhythm (8 of 8) and Music (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rhythm, priced around $17. The breakout hits carry Difficult + Female Protagonist + Rogue-like; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Crypt of the NecroDancer
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
27k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RhythmFemale Protagonist
Beat Saber
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
76k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRRhythm
AudioSurf
2008
Est. copies
≈ 702k–1.1M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MusicRhythm
Audiosurf 2
2015
Est. copies
≈ 295k–480k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
MusicRhythm
MUSYNX
2018
Est. copies
≈ 207k–336k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$227k–$610k after Steam's cut $413k–$939k before Steam's cut
$3.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmMusic
Melatonin
2022
Est. copies
≈ 203k–330k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$838k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmIndie
Beat Hazard
2010
Est. copies
≈ 471k–765k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmMusic-Based Procedural Generation
EZ2ON REBOOT : R
2022
Est. copies
≈ 156k–253k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.0M before Steam's cut
$44.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmAction

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