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How many copies did Crypt of the NecroDancer sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
$5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.1M before Steam's cut
from 27k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Crypt of the NecroDancer and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Crypt of the NecroDancer's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 25k–234k
best case 4.6M (Muse Dash)
Games like Crypt of the NecroDancer

A typical game among these

≈ 25k–234k copies

≈ $119k–$1.4M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Muse Dash at ≈ 3.5M–5.7M copies, ≈ $2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 607 reviews in their first month; the range was 122 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rhythm (8 of 8) and Female Protagonist (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Music + Rhythm, priced around $3. The breakout hits carry Sexual Content + Great Soundtrack + Anime; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

BPM: BULLETS PER MINUTE
2020
Est. copies
≈ 283k–461k
6.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
Lofi Ping Pong
2019
Est. copies
≈ 54k–88k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Very Positive
MusicRhythm
Muse Dash
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
65x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before Steam's cut
$2.99
122k reviews
Very Positive
MusicRhythm
Melody's Escape
2016
Est. copies
≈ 200k–325k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$549k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $998k–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Music-Based Procedural GenerationRhythm
Rift of the NecroDancer
2025
Est. copies
≈ 156k–254k
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$859k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmMinigames
Keylocker | Turn Based Cyberpunk Action
2024
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$39k–$106k after Steam's cut $72k–$163k before Steam's cut
$19.99
289 reviews
Very Positive
JRPGCyberpunk
Yoiyami Dancers: Twilight Danmaku Dancers
2022
Est. copies
≈ 17k–27k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$46k–$124k after Steam's cut $84k–$191k before Steam's cut
$9.99
677 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionRhythm
KALPA: Cosmic Symphony
2025
Est. copies
≈ 22k–35k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$120k–$322k after Steam's cut $218k–$495k before Steam's cut
$19.99
878 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessRhythm

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