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How many copies did Soundfall sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 29k–47k
$237k–$638k after Steam's cut $432k–$982k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Soundfall and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Soundfall's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 20k–302k
best case 1.0M (Just Shapes & Beats)
Games like Soundfall

A typical game among these

≈ 20k–302k copies

≈ $63k–$166k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Music (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Just Shapes & Beats at ≈ 795k–1.3M copies, ≈ $4.4M–$11.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 206 reviews in their first month; the range was 79 to 470.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Music (4 of 8) and Rhythm (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rhythm + Music, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Just Shapes & Beats
2018
Est. copies
≈ 795k–1.3M
24x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.4M–$11.8M after Steam's cut $7.9M–$18.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
26k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RhythmGreat Soundtrack
3on3 FreeStyle: Rebound
2020
Est. copies
≈ 110k–179k
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Mixed
BasketballTeam-Based
Yakiniku simulator
2022
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$15k–$41k after Steam's cut $28k–$63k before Steam's cut
$4.99
445 reviews
Very Positive
CasualCooking
SUPER CRAZY RHYTHM CASTLE
2023
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$73k–$195k after Steam's cut $132k–$301k before Steam's cut
$19.99
533 reviews
Mostly Positive
PuzzleAdventure
Mitos.is: The Game
2015
Est. copies
≈ 588k–956k
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
12k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
Disaster Band
2022
Est. copies
≈ 18k–29k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$34k–$92k after Steam's cut $62k–$141k before Steam's cut
$6.99
716 reviews
Very Positive
MusicRhythm
FUSER™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 36k–58k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1k reviews
Very Positive
MusicCasual
Racket: Nx
2018
Est. copies
≈ 16k–27k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$90k–$243k after Steam's cut $164k–$373k before Steam's cut
$19.99
540 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRSports

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