How much revenue did Just Shapes & Beats make?

$4.4M–$11.8M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Just Shapes & Beats sell?

Q: How many copies did Just Shapes & Beats sell?

795k to 1.3M copies, based on its 26k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 795k–1.3M; $4.4M–$11.8M after Steam's cut $7.9M–$18.1M before Steam's cut; from 26k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Just Shapes & Beats and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Just Shapes & Beats's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–3.0M

best case 47.6M (Geometry Dash)

Games like Just Shapes & Beats

A typical game among these

≈ 1.4M–3.0M copies

≈ $6.3M–$17.8M after Steam's cut

from ~36k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Geometry Dash at ≈ 36.2M–58.9M copies, ≈ $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Rhythm (8 of 8) and Music (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Music + Level Editor, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Precision Platformer + Level Editor + 2D; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Muse Dash 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M 3.4x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before Steam's cut	$2.99	122k reviews Very Positive	MusicRhythm
A Dance of Fire and Ice 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.4M–3.9M 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $4.0M–$10.7M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.5M before Steam's cut	$5.99	84k reviews Very Positive	RhythmMusic
Crypt of the NecroDancer 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	27k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RhythmFemale Protagonist
Super Hexagon 2012	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut	$2.99	25k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DifficultGreat Soundtrack
Hi-Fi RUSH 2023	Est. copies ≈ 893k–1.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.4M–$19.8M after Steam's cut $13.4M–$30.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	36k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RhythmAction
DJMAX RESPECT V 2020	Est. copies ≈ 867k–1.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $11.9M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	35k reviews Very Positive	RhythmMusic
Geometry Dash 2014	Est. copies ≈ 36.2M–58.9M 18x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut $90.4M–$205.7M before Steam's cut	$4.99	647k reviews Very Positive	DifficultMusic
Beat Saber 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	76k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	VRRhythm