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How many copies did Disaster Band sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 18k–29k
$34k–$92k after Steam's cut $62k–$141k before Steam's cut
from 716 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Disaster Band and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Disaster Band's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 99k–261k
best case 367k (Trombone Champ)
Games like Disaster Band

A typical game among these

≈ 99k–261k copies

≈ $214k–$1.5M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Trombone Champ at ≈ 279k–454k copies, ≈ $1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Music (8 of 8) and Rhythm (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rhythm + Comedy, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Melatonin
2022
Est. copies
≈ 203k–330k
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$838k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmIndie
Before the Echo
2011
Est. copies
≈ 92k–149k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$126k–$339k after Steam's cut $229k–$522k before Steam's cut
$4.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmRPG
Wandersong
2018
Est. copies
≈ 119k–193k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$653k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
MusicAdventure
Frederic: Resurrection of Music
2014
Est. copies
≈ 60k–97k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$49k–$132k after Steam's cut $89k–$202k before Steam's cut
$2.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
IndieMusic
BIT.TRIP Presents... Runner2: Future Legend of Rhythm Alien
2013
Est. copies
≈ 195k–316k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$802k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Trombone Champ
2022
Est. copies
≈ 279k–454k
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RhythmComedy
Frederic: Evil Strikes Back
2014
Est. copies
≈ 48k–78k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$106k–$284k after Steam's cut $192k–$437k before Steam's cut
$7.99
858 reviews
Very Positive
CasualIndie
Frederic: Resurrection of Music Director's Cut
2016
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$25k–$67k after Steam's cut $45k–$103k before Steam's cut
$5.99
362 reviews
Very Positive
IndieAction

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.