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How many copies did Frederic: Resurrection of Music sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 60k–97k
$49k–$132k after Steam's cut $89k–$202k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Frederic: Resurrection of Music and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Frederic: Resurrection of Music's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 53k–258k
best case 367k (Trombone Champ)
Games like Frederic: Resurrection of Music

A typical game among these

≈ 53k–258k copies

≈ $162k–$1.5M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Trombone Champ at ≈ 279k–454k copies, ≈ $1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 729 reviews in their first month; the range was 206 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Music (8 of 8) and Rhythm (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rhythm + Comedy, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Melatonin
2022
Est. copies
≈ 203k–330k
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$838k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmIndie
Frederic: Evil Strikes Back
2014
Est. copies
≈ 48k–78k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$106k–$284k after Steam's cut $192k–$437k before Steam's cut
$7.99
858 reviews
Very Positive
CasualIndie
BIT.TRIP Presents... Runner2: Future Legend of Rhythm Alien
2013
Est. copies
≈ 195k–316k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$802k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Disaster Band
2022
Est. copies
≈ 18k–29k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$34k–$92k after Steam's cut $62k–$141k before Steam's cut
$6.99
716 reviews
Very Positive
MusicRhythm
Trombone Champ
2022
Est. copies
≈ 279k–454k
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RhythmComedy
Wandersong
2018
Est. copies
≈ 119k–193k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$653k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
MusicAdventure
Frederic: Resurrection of Music Director's Cut
2016
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$25k–$67k after Steam's cut $45k–$103k before Steam's cut
$5.99
362 reviews
Very Positive
IndieAction
Before the Echo
2011
Est. copies
≈ 92k–149k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$126k–$339k after Steam's cut $229k–$522k before Steam's cut
$4.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmRPG

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