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How many copies did Pine sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 53k–86k
$365k–$981k after Steam's cut $664k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Pine and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Pine's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.5M–6.9M
best case 7.5M (Assassin's Creed® Odyssey)
Games like Pine

A typical game among these

≈ 4.5M–6.9M copies

≈ $53.5M–$104.1M after Steam's cut

from ~131k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Assassin's Creed® Odyssey at ≈ 5.7M–9.3M copies, ≈ $94.8M–$254.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (8 of 8) and Third Person (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Historical, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Days Gone
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$32.0M–$86.0M after Steam's cut $58.2M–$132.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
117k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldZombies
Shadow of the Tomb Raider: Definitive Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.6M–$79.6M after Steam's cut $53.8M–$122.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
89k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAction
Rise of the Tomb Raider™
2016
Est. copies
≈ 6.5M–10.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$53.7M–$144.2M after Steam's cut $97.5M–$221.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
156k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAction
Batman: Arkham City - Game of the Year Edition
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.3M–$73.3M after Steam's cut $49.6M–$112.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
78k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionOpen World
Assassin's Creed® Odyssey
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$94.8M–$254.9M after Steam's cut $172.4M–$392.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
189k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG
Batman™: Arkham Origins
2013
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.8M–$61.3M after Steam's cut $41.5M–$94.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
66k reviews
Very Positive
ActionOpen World
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut $101.1M–$230.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
176k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureSouls-like
Marvel’s Spider-Man Remastered
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$59.0M–$158.6M after Steam's cut $107.3M–$244.0M before Steam's cut
$59.99
144k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldSuperhero

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