How much revenue did STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ make?

$55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ sell?

Q: How many copies did STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ sell?

5.1M to 8.2M copies, based on its 176k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 5.1M–8.2M; $55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut $101.1M–$230.0M before Steam's cut; from 176k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.0M–3.0M

best case 39.5M (Black Myth: Wukong)

Games like STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™

A typical game among these

≈ 2.0M–3.0M copies

≈ $40.8M–$74.8M after Steam's cut

from ~86k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Combat (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Black Myth: Wukong at ≈ 30.1M–48.9M copies, ≈ $496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 27k reviews in their first month; the range was 14k to 836k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Combat (4 of 8) and Souls-like (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Mythology + Action RPG, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Mythology + Action RPG + Story Rich; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: 4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
REMNANT II® 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $23.5M–$63.3M after Steam's cut $42.8M–$97.4M before Steam's cut	$49.99	69k reviews Very Positive	Souls-like Co-op
Black Myth: Wukong 2024	Est. copies ≈ 30.1M–48.9M 14x vs typical SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue $496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut $902.2M–$2052.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	1.2M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MythologyAction RPG
STAR WARS Jedi: Survivor™ 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2.1M–3.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $41.3M–$111.2M after Steam's cut $75.2M–$171.0M before Steam's cut	$69.99	87k reviews Mostly Positive	ActionAdventure
Split Fiction 2025	Est. copies ≈ 3.2M–5.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $43.4M–$116.6M after Steam's cut $78.8M–$179.4M before Steam's cut	$49.99	127k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Co-opSplit Screen
ARMORED CORE™ VI FIRES OF RUBICON™ 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2.1M–3.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $35.2M–$94.8M after Steam's cut $64.1M–$145.8M before Steam's cut	$59.99	86k reviews Very Positive	MechsCharacter Customization
God of War Ragnarök 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $20.7M–$55.6M after Steam's cut $37.6M–$85.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	51k reviews Very Positive	ActionAdventure
Ghost of Tsushima DIRECTOR'S CUT 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2.4M–3.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $39.8M–$106.9M after Steam's cut $72.3M–$164.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	97k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
Lords of the Fallen 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $11.6M–$31.1M after Steam's cut $21.0M–$47.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	57k reviews Mixed	Souls-likeExploration