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How many copies did ARMORED CORE™ VI FIRES OF RUBICON™ sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2.1M–3.5M
$35.2M–$94.8M after Steam's cut $64.1M–$145.8M before Steam's cut
from 86k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ARMORED CORE™ VI FIRES OF RUBICON™ and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ARMORED CORE™ VI FIRES OF RUBICON™'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 211k–310k
best case 1.3M (BATTLETECH)
Games like ARMORED CORE™ VI FIRES OF RUBICON™

A typical game among these

≈ 211k–310k copies

≈ $2.2M–$4.3M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Mechs (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: BATTLETECH at ≈ 1.0M–1.6M copies, ≈ $11.1M–$29.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 13k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Mechs (4 of 8) and Anime (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Extraction Shooter + Looter Shooter, priced around $35.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SD GUNDAM G GENERATION CROSS RAYS
2019
Est. copies
≈ 236k–384k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
8k reviews
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MechsTactical RPG
MechWarrior 5: Clans
2024
Est. copies
≈ 146k–238k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
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ActionSimulation
The Forever Winter
2024
Est. copies
≈ 619k–1.0M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.7M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
25k reviews
Mixed
Early AccessExtraction Shooter
Phantasy Star Online 2 New Genesis
2020
Est. copies
≈ 613k–995k
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Free
Free
25k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayCharacter Customization
BATTLETECH
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.1M–$29.9M after Steam's cut $20.2M–$46.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
33k reviews
Very Positive
MechsStrategy
The Surge 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 277k–450k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
10k reviews
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DAEMON X MACHINA
2020
Est. copies
≈ 170k–277k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut
$49.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
MechsAction
CryoFall
2021
Est. copies
≈ 161k–261k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$882k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Mostly Positive
Colony SimCrafting

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