How much revenue did The Forever Winter make?

$5.1M–$13.7M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Forever Winter sell?

Q: How many copies did The Forever Winter sell?

619k to 1.0M copies, based on its 25k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 619k–1.0M; $5.1M–$13.7M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.1M before Steam's cut; from 25k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Forever Winter and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Forever Winter's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 555k–1.4M

best case 5.3M (Tom Clancy’s The Division™)

Games like The Forever Winter

A typical game among these

≈ 555k–1.4M copies

≈ $7.0M–$24.4M after Steam's cut

from ~27k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Tom Clancy’s The Division™ at ≈ 4.0M–6.6M copies, ≈ $33.2M–$89.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 139 to 29k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Shooter (8 of 8) and Looter Shooter (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Looter Shooter, priced around $30.
When they shipped: 4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
No Escape from Madness 2025	Est. copies ≈ 7k–11k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $23k–$61k after Steam's cut $41k–$94k before Steam's cut	$11.99	277 reviews Mixed	Extraction ShooterBase-Building
The Cycle: Frontier 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	45k reviews Mixed	Extraction ShooterSurvival
Vigor 2024	Est. copies ≈ 199k–324k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	8k reviews Mixed	Looter ShooterMultiplayer
Tom Clancy’s The Division™ 2016	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.6M 3.6x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $33.2M–$89.4M after Steam's cut $60.5M–$137.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	97k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldLooter Shooter
Blood Running 2025	Est. copies ≈ 5k–8k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $24k–$64k after Steam's cut $43k–$99k before Steam's cut	$16.99	206 reviews Mixed	Extraction ShooterSurvival
Borderlands Game of the Year 2023	Est. copies ≈ 791k–1.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $6.5M–$17.5M after Steam's cut $11.9M–$27.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	32k reviews Very Positive	Looter ShooterFPS
Marauders 2022	Est. copies ≈ 532k–864k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.4M–$11.8M after Steam's cut $8.0M–$18.1M before Steam's cut	$29.99	21k reviews Mixed	Early AccessExtraction Shooter
ZERO Sievert 2024	Est. copies ≈ 387k–628k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	16k reviews Very Positive	Extraction ShooterSurvival