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How many copies did Borderlands Game of the Year sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 791k–1.3M
$6.5M–$17.5M after Steam's cut $11.9M–$27.0M before Steam's cut
from 32k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Borderlands Game of the Year and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Borderlands Game of the Year's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 10.6M–33.4M
best case 56.3M (Warframe)
Games like Borderlands Game of the Year

A typical game among these

≈ 10.6M–33.4M copies

≈ $143.5M–$216.1M after Steam's cut

from ~473k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Warframe at ≈ 42.9M–69.7M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 40k reviews in their first month; the range was 24k to 63k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (6 of 8) and FPS (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action RPG + Looter Shooter.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Unturned
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.4M–31.6M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
565k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlaySurvival
Deep Rock Galactic
2020
Est. copies
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$77.8M–$209.2M after Steam's cut $141.5M–$321.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
380k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DwarfCo-op
Destiny 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 19.1M–31.0M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
663k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayOpen World
Gunfire Reborn
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.2M–$38.1M after Steam's cut $25.7M–$58.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
104k reviews
Very Positive
Borderlands 3
2020
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$89.5M–$240.7M after Steam's cut $162.8M–$370.4M before Steam's cut
$79.99
164k reviews
Very Positive
RPGLooter Shooter
Borderlands 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 19.8M–32.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$217.3M–$584.2M after Steam's cut $395.1M–$898.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
313k reviews
Very Positive
LootShooter
PAYDAY 2
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.7M–69.3M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
675k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opAction
Warframe
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.9M–69.7M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
678k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayAction RPG

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.