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How big is Warframe?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 42.9M–69.7M
from 678k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Warframe and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Warframe's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–3k
best case 25.0M (Destiny 2)
Games like Warframe

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–3k copies

≈ $4k after Steam's cut

from ~76 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Open World (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Destiny 2 at ≈ 19.1M–31.0M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 61 reviews in their first month; the range was 12 to 12k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (3 of 8) and Character Customization (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Looter Shooter, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Open World + Co-op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Destiny 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 19.1M–31.0M
8775x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
663k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayOpen World
Unturned
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.4M–31.6M
7480x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
565k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlaySurvival
Bloodlines of Prima
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
78 reviews
Mixed
ActionFree to Play
Alien Agent X
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
$3.99
73 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessFree to Play
League of Maidens®
2025
Est. copies
≈ 170k–277k
91x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Mixed
NudityMature
Flashing Lights - Police, Firefighting, Emergency Services (EMS) Simulator
2023
Est. copies
≈ 464k–755k
248x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
19k reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureDriving
Cloaks and Capes
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
44 reviews
Positive
Rogue-liteSide Scroller
Darkzone: Idle RPG
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
133 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessIdler

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