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How big is Destiny 2?

Estimated owners
≈ 19.0M–30.9M
from 660k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Destiny 2 out and predicted the genre from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including Destiny 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 22.1M–46.2M
best case 123.4M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
The Open World genre

All 7 of your similar games are hits. A big, proven genre for a game like yours.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game
≈ 22.1M–46.2M copies
≈ $91.4M–$238.4M after Steam's cut
from ~768k reviews
Best case
≈ 94.0M–152.8M copies
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (3 of 7) and Survival (3 of 7).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2022, a genre with a long track record.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 94.0M–152.8M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.7M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
BeamNG.drive
2015
Est. copies
≈ 18.8M–30.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$129.2M–$347.5M after Steam's cut $235.0M–$534.6M before the cut
$24.99
405k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationDriving
War Thunder
2013
Est. copies
≈ 40.0M–64.9M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
768k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlaySimulation
ARK: Survival Evolved
2017
Est. copies
≈ 26.6M–43.2M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$109.6M–$294.7M after Steam's cut $199.3M–$453.4M before the cut
$14.99
773k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Hearts of Iron IV
2016
Est. copies
≈ 14.9M–24.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$204.8M–$550.6M after Steam's cut $372.3M–$847.1M before the cut
$49.99
372k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyWorld War II
Raft
2022
Est. copies
≈ 9.0M–14.7M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$49.6M–$133.3M after Steam's cut $90.1M–$205.0M before the cut
$19.99
376k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalMultiplayer
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30.5M–49.6M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$41.9M–$112.5M after Steam's cut $76.1M–$173.1M before the cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.