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How big is War Thunder?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 49.7M–80.7M
from 786k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid War Thunder and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including War Thunder's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–3.1M
best case 8.4M (World of Tanks Blitz)
Games like War Thunder

A typical game among these

≈ 1.6M–3.1M copies

≈ $9.0M–$11.1M after Steam's cut

from ~44k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is FPS (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: World of Tanks Blitz at ≈ 6.4M–10.4M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 31k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (3 of 8) and Shooter (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tanks + Shooter.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

FlatOut 2
2006
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.4M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$16.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
22k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RacingCombat Racing
Besiege
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationSandbox
Trailmakers
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut $14.2M–$32.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
SpaceAction
World of Tanks Blitz
2016
Est. copies
≈ 6.4M–10.4M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
153k reviews
Mostly Positive
TanksFree to Play
World of Tanks
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
101k reviews
Mostly Positive
TanksFree to Play
Enlisted
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
48k reviews
Very Positive
FPSWorld War II
TerraTech
2018
Est. copies
≈ 761k–1.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.2M–$14.1M after Steam's cut $9.5M–$21.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
BuildingSandbox
Battlefield: Bad Company™ 2
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
37k reviews
Very Positive
FPSMultiplayer

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