How much revenue did Trailmakers make?

$7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Trailmakers sell?

Q: How many copies did Trailmakers sell?

1.1M to 1.8M copies, based on its 39k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.1M–1.8M; $7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut $14.2M–$32.3M before Steam's cut; from 39k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Trailmakers and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Trailmakers's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 682k–2.1M

best case 6.6M (STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™)

Games like Trailmakers

A typical game among these

≈ 682k–2.1M copies

≈ $14.4M–$28.9M after Steam's cut

from ~26k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Co-op (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ at ≈ 5.1M–8.2M copies, ≈ $55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Co-op (3 of 8) and LEGO (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action-Adventure + Souls-like, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Souls-like + Story Rich + Swordplay; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2008 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
LEGO® Star Wars™ III - The Clone Wars™ 2011	Est. copies ≈ 589k–958k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	9k reviews Very Positive	LEGOAction
SPORE™ 2008	Est. copies ≈ 4.6M–7.5M 2.9x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $25.3M–$68.0M after Steam's cut $46.0M–$104.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	73k reviews Very Positive	God GameOpen World
Universe Sandbox 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $13.0M–$35.0M after Steam's cut $23.6M–$53.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	32k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxSpace
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ 2019	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.2M 6.9x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut $101.1M–$230.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	176k reviews Very Positive	Action-AdventureSouls-like
LEGO® Star Wars™: The Skywalker Saga 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $16.5M–$44.5M after Steam's cut $30.1M–$68.4M before Steam's cut	$49.99	48k reviews Very Positive	LEGOAdventure
LEGO® Star Wars™ - The Complete Saga 2009	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.9M–$23.9M after Steam's cut $16.1M–$36.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	26k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	LEGOLocal Co-Op
Ratchet & Clank: Rift Apart 2023	Est. copies ≈ 451k–732k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.4M–$20.0M after Steam's cut $13.5M–$30.7M before Steam's cut	$59.99	18k reviews Very Positive	Adventure3D Platformer
Learn to Fly 3 2017	Est. copies ≈ 390k–633k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	11k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayCasual