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How many copies did Borderlands 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 19.8M–32.1M
$217.3M–$584.2M after Steam's cut $395.1M–$898.8M before Steam's cut
from 313k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Borderlands 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Borderlands 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.5M–15.5M
best case 34.9M (Apex Legends™)
Games like Borderlands 2

A typical game among these

≈ 4.5M–15.5M copies

≈ $28.5M–$143.5M after Steam's cut

from ~259k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Apex Legends™ at ≈ 26.6M–43.2M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 63k reviews in their first month; the range was 24k to 103k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (5 of 8) and Co-op (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Battle Royale + FPS.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Apex Legends™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 26.6M–43.2M
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.1M reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayBattle Royale
Gunfire Reborn
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.2M–$38.1M after Steam's cut $25.7M–$58.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
104k reviews
Very Positive
Enter the Gungeon
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's cut $28.1M–$63.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
90k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellAction Roguelike
Destiny 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 19.1M–31.0M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
663k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayOpen World
Deep Rock Galactic
2020
Est. copies
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$77.8M–$209.2M after Steam's cut $141.5M–$321.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
380k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DwarfCo-op
Risk of Rain 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 8.8M–14.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut $109.5M–$249.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
353k reviews
Very Positive
Third-Person ShooterAction Roguelike
Borderlands 3
2020
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$89.5M–$240.7M after Steam's cut $162.8M–$370.4M before Steam's cut
$79.99
164k reviews
Very Positive
RPGLooter Shooter
Crossout
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
70k reviews
Mostly Positive
Third PersonGun Customization

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.