How much revenue did Borderlands 3 make?

$89.5M–$240.7M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Borderlands 3 sell?

Q: How many copies did Borderlands 3 sell?

4.1M to 6.6M copies, based on its 164k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4.1M–6.6M; $89.5M–$240.7M after Steam's cut $162.8M–$370.4M before Steam's cut; from 164k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Borderlands 3 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Borderlands 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.1M–18.5M

best case 56.3M (Warframe)

Games like Borderlands 3

A typical game among these

≈ 3.1M–18.5M copies

≈ $34.8M–$127.7M after Steam's cut

from ~122k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Warframe at ≈ 42.9M–69.7M copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 49k reviews in their first month; the range was 26k to 469k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Co-op (6 of 8) and Looter Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action RPG + Looter Shooter.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2026, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Palworld 2026	Est. copies ≈ 12.2M–19.8M 4.0x vs typical SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue $100.5M–$270.1M after Steam's cut $182.7M–$415.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	491k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldSurvival
Warframe 2013	Est. copies ≈ 42.9M–69.7M 5.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	678k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayAction RPG
Gunfire Reborn 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $14.2M–$38.1M after Steam's cut $25.7M–$58.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	104k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-lite FPS
OUTRIDERS 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $8.4M–$22.5M after Steam's cut $15.2M–$34.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	61k reviews Mixed	Looter ShooterRPG
Warhammer 40,000: Darktide 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $38.0M–$102.2M after Steam's cut $69.1M–$157.2M before Steam's cut	$39.99	139k reviews Mostly Positive	HorrorTeam-Based
Tom Clancy’s The Division™ 2016	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.6M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $33.2M–$89.4M after Steam's cut $60.5M–$137.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	97k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldLooter Shooter
Borderlands 2 2012	Est. copies ≈ 19.8M–32.1M 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $217.3M–$584.2M after Steam's cut $395.1M–$898.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	313k reviews Very Positive	LootShooter
REMNANT II® 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $23.5M–$63.3M after Steam's cut $42.8M–$97.4M before Steam's cut	$49.99	69k reviews Very Positive	Souls-like Co-op