How much revenue did OUTRIDERS make?

$8.4M–$22.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did OUTRIDERS sell?

Q: How many copies did OUTRIDERS sell?

1.5M to 2.5M copies, based on its 61k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.5M–2.5M; $8.4M–$22.5M after Steam's cut $15.2M–$34.6M before Steam's cut; from 61k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid OUTRIDERS and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including OUTRIDERS's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.2M–18.5M

best case 56.3M (Warframe)

Games like OUTRIDERS

A typical game among these

≈ 4.2M–18.5M copies

≈ $52.4M–$175.2M after Steam's cut

from ~152k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Warframe at ≈ 42.9M–69.7M copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 49k reviews in their first month; the range was 24k to 469k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Co-op (5 of 8) and Looter Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action RPG + Looter Shooter.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2026, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Palworld 2026	Est. copies ≈ 12.2M–19.8M 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue $100.5M–$270.1M after Steam's cut $182.7M–$415.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	491k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldSurvival
Borderlands 2 2012	Est. copies ≈ 19.8M–32.1M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $217.3M–$584.2M after Steam's cut $395.1M–$898.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	313k reviews Very Positive	LootShooter
Warframe 2013	Est. copies ≈ 42.9M–69.7M 4.5x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	678k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayAction RPG
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