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How many copies did Deep Rock Galactic sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
$77.8M–$209.2M after Steam's cut $141.5M–$321.9M before Steam's cut
from 380k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Deep Rock Galactic and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Deep Rock Galactic's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 669k–56.0M
best case 56.0M (Rust)
Games like Deep Rock Galactic

A typical game among these

≈ 669k–56.0M copies

≈ $27.9M–$493.4M after Steam's cut

from ~411k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Co-op (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Rust at ≈ 42.7M–69.3M copies, ≈ $469.3M–$1261.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 184 to 251k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (4 of 8) and Action RPG (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Crafting, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Rust
2018
Est. copies
≈ 42.7M–69.3M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$469.3M–$1261.8M after Steam's cut $853.3M–$1941.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
1.4M reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalCrafting
HELLDIVERS™ 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 28.9M–46.9M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$317.6M–$854.0M after Steam's cut $577.5M–$1313.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
1.2M reviews
Mostly Positive
Online Co-OpPvE
Warframe
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.9M–69.7M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
678k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayAction RPG
Warhammer: Vermintide 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$37.0M–$99.6M after Steam's cut $67.3M–$153.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
148k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opDark Fantasy
PAYDAY 2
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.7M–69.3M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$117.2M–$315.1M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
675k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opAction
Age of Wonders 4
2023
Est. copies
≈ 571k–929k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.9M–$21.1M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.5M before Steam's cut
$49.99
23k reviews
Very Positive
Strategy4X
Panzar
2013
Est. copies
≈ 326k–529k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayAction
First Dwarf
2024
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$65k–$175k after Steam's cut $118k–$269k before Steam's cut
$24.99
381 reviews
Mostly Positive
Early Access3D

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