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How many copies did HELLDIVERS™ 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 28.9M–46.9M
$317.6M–$854.0M after Steam's cut $577.5M–$1313.8M before Steam's cut
from 1.2M reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid HELLDIVERS™ 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including HELLDIVERS™ 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–9.3M
best case 56.3M (Warframe)
Games like HELLDIVERS™ 2

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–9.3M copies

≈ $10.3M–$78.9M after Steam's cut

from ~70k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Warframe at ≈ 42.9M–69.7M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 27k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 469k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (6 of 8) and Third-Person Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action RPG + Looter Shooter.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Warframe
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.9M–69.7M
9.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
678k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayAction RPG
World of Warships
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
157k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayNaval Combat
Palworld
2026
Est. copies
≈ 12.2M–19.8M
7.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$100.5M–$270.1M after Steam's cut $182.7M–$415.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
491k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldSurvival
Crossout
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
70k reviews
Mostly Positive
Third PersonGun Customization
World War Z
2021
Est. copies
≈ 815k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$18.1M after Steam's cut $12.2M–$27.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
33k reviews
Very Positive
ZombiesMultiplayer
Zero Hour
2024
Est. copies
≈ 829k–1.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
33k reviews
Mostly Positive
TacticalShooter
Alien Swarm: Reactive Drop
2017
Est. copies
≈ 819k–1.3M
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
24k reviews
Very Positive
REMNANT II®
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$23.5M–$63.3M after Steam's cut $42.8M–$97.4M before Steam's cut
$49.99
69k reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.