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How big is Alien Swarm: Reactive Drop?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 819k–1.3M
from 24k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Alien Swarm: Reactive Drop and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Alien Swarm: Reactive Drop's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 61k–124k
best case 813k (The Ascent)
Games like Alien Swarm: Reactive Drop

A typical game among these

≈ 61k–124k copies

≈ $222k–$523k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Ascent at ≈ 619k–1.0M copies, ≈ $5.1M–$13.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 742 reviews in their first month; the range was 575 to 9k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rogue-lite (5 of 8) and Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Top-Down Shooter + Cyberpunk, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Cyberpunk + RPG + Co-op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Skillshot City
2017
Est. copies
≈ 123k–201k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Very Positive
Battle RoyaleRogue-lite
The Ascent
2021
Est. copies
≈ 619k–1.0M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.7M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
25k reviews
Mostly Positive
Top-Down ShooterCyberpunk
Shadowgrounds
2006
Est. copies
≈ 103k–167k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$197k–$530k after Steam's cut $359k–$816k before Steam's cut
$6.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Top-Down ShooterSci-fi
Hell is Others
2022
Est. copies
≈ 29k–47k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$119k–$319k after Steam's cut $216k–$491k before Steam's cut
$14.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
Rogue-likeTop-Down
SYNTHETIK 2
2021
Est. copies
≈ 87k–141k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$476k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $866k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessRogue-lite
Touhou Endless Dream
2021
Est. copies
≈ 47k–76k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$103k–$276k after Steam's cut $187k–$425k before Steam's cut
$7.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
CasualAnime
Blazing Beaks
2019
Est. copies
≈ 76k–123k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$312k–$839k after Steam's cut $567k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsAction Roguelike
NIMRODS
2024
Est. copies
≈ 46k–74k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$126k–$337k after Steam's cut $228k–$519k before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Early Access2D

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