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How many copies did NIMRODS sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 46k–74k
$126k–$337k after Steam's cut $228k–$519k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid NIMRODS and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including NIMRODS's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 602k–1.0M
best case 8.7M (Vampire Survivors)
Games like NIMRODS

A typical game among these

≈ 602k–1.0M copies

≈ $2.1M–$3.8M after Steam's cut

from ~21k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Vampire Survivors at ≈ 6.6M–10.7M copies, ≈ $9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 22k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 129k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Bullet Hell (8 of 8) and Action Roguelike (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Bullet Hell, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + Vampire + Sci-fi; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Halls of Torment
2024
Est. copies
≈ 793k–1.3M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$6.0M before Steam's cut
$6.66
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Nuclear Throne
2015
Est. copies
≈ 967k–1.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut
$11.99
20k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
Vampire Survivors
2022
Est. copies
≈ 6.6M–10.7M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut $16.5M–$37.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
267k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Brotato
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
5.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$10.9M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.8M before Steam's cut
$4.99
119k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rogue-likeSingleplayer
20 Minutes Till Dawn
2023
Est. copies
≈ 724k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$993k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Nova Drift
2024
Est. copies
≈ 364k–592k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.5M before Steam's cut
$17.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeArena Shooter
Touhou Luna Nights
2019
Est. copies
≈ 432k–701k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$17.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MetroidvaniaDifficult
Death Must Die
2023
Est. copies
≈ 541k–879k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut
$6.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell

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