How much revenue did Touhou Luna Nights make?

$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Touhou Luna Nights sell?

Q: How many copies did Touhou Luna Nights sell?

432k to 701k copies, based on its 15k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 432k–701k; $2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut; from 15k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Touhou Luna Nights and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Touhou Luna Nights's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 461k–666k

best case 25.6M (Hollow Knight)

Games like Touhou Luna Nights

A typical game among these

≈ 461k–666k copies

≈ $3.1M–$3.5M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Hollow Knight at ≈ 19.5M–31.6M copies, ≈ $80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Metroidvania (8 of 8) and Exploration (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Metroidvania, priced around $27. The breakout hits carry 2.5D + Great Soundtrack + Difficult; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
SteamWorld Dig 2013	Est. copies ≈ 698k–1.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	11k reviews Very Positive	PlatformerMining
Monster Sanctuary 2020	Est. copies ≈ 315k–512k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	13k reviews Very Positive	Creature CollectorPixel Graphics
Rabi-Ribi 2016	Est. copies ≈ 511k–830k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.5M–$6.8M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.4M before Steam's cut	$17.99	12k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AnimeMetroidvania
UnEpic 2014	Est. copies ≈ 458k–745k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.8M before Steam's cut	$12.99	8k reviews Very Positive	RPGIndie
Afterimage 2023	Est. copies ≈ 260k–423k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut	$24.99	10k reviews Mostly Positive	MetroidvaniaFemale Protagonist
Bloodstained: Ritual of the Night 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M 3.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $13.2M–$35.6M after Steam's cut $24.1M–$54.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	42k reviews Very Positive	MetroidvaniaRPG
Hollow Knight 2017	Est. copies ≈ 19.5M–31.6M 49x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut $145.9M–$332.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	566k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Metroidvania Souls-like
Momodora: Reverie Under The Moonlight 2016	Est. copies ≈ 498k–809k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	12k reviews Very Positive	Metroidvania2D Platformer