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How many copies did Momodora: Reverie Under The Moonlight sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 498k–809k
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
from 12k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Momodora: Reverie Under The Moonlight and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Momodora: Reverie Under The Moonlight's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 198k–525k
best case 709k (Blasphemous 2)
Games like Momodora: Reverie Under The Moonlight

A typical game among these

≈ 198k–525k copies

≈ $1.5M–$3.5M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Blasphemous 2 at ≈ 540k–878k copies, ≈ $6.7M–$18.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Metroidvania (8 of 8) and Platformer (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Combat + Fantasy, priced around $45.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Guacamelee! Super Turbo Championship Edition
2014
Est. copies
≈ 398k–647k
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Blasphemous 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 540k–878k
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$18.0M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut
$44.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
CombatFantasy
The Messenger
2018
Est. copies
≈ 404k–656k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
RetroPlatformer
Guacamelee! 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 103k–167k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$567k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
HAAK
2022
Est. copies
≈ 87k–142k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$432k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $786k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$17.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerMetroidvania
Laika: Aged Through Blood
2023
Est. copies
≈ 167k–272k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$919k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericArcade
Afterimage
2023
Est. copies
≈ 260k–423k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
10k reviews
Mostly Positive
MetroidvaniaFemale Protagonist
Prince of Persia The Lost Crown
2024
Est. copies
≈ 182k–295k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaExploration

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