How much revenue did Nova Drift make?

$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Nova Drift sell?

Q: How many copies did Nova Drift sell?

364k to 592k copies, based on its 15k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 364k–592k; $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.5M before Steam's cut; from 15k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Nova Drift and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Nova Drift's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 118k–1.9M

best case 4.9M (Enter the Gungeon)

Games like Nova Drift

A typical game among these

≈ 118k–1.9M copies

≈ $791k–$8.5M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Enter the Gungeon at ≈ 3.7M–6.1M copies, ≈ $15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Bullet Hell (4 of 4) and Action Roguelike (3 of 4).
The winners: Winners here lead with Bullet Hell + Action Roguelike, priced around $15.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
20 Minutes Till Dawn 2023	Est. copies ≈ 724k–1.2M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $993k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut	$4.99	29k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Time Wasters 2023	Est. copies ≈ 65k–106k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $89k–$240k after Steam's cut $162k–$370k before Steam's cut	$4.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Assault Android Cactus+ 2015	Est. copies ≈ 99k–160k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $542k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $985k–$2.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Bullet Hell Twin Stick Shooter
Enter the Gungeon 2016	Est. copies ≈ 3.7M–6.1M 5.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's cut $28.1M–$63.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	90k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Bullet HellAction Roguelike