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How many copies did Touhou Endless Dream sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 47k–76k
$103k–$276k after Steam's cut $187k–$425k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Touhou Endless Dream and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Touhou Endless Dream's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 123k–152k
best case 2.3M (The Scroll of Taiwu : Beyond The Dome)
Games like Touhou Endless Dream

A typical game among these

≈ 123k–152k copies

≈ $189k–$747k after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Rogue-lite (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: The Scroll of Taiwu : Beyond The Dome at ≈ 1.7M–2.8M copies, ≈ $14.4M–$38.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 761 to 69k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rogue-lite (3 of 8) and Action Roguelike (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Bullet Hell + Anime, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2026, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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10x vs typical
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SteamSpy 50k–100k
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The Scroll of Taiwu : Beyond The Dome
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Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
17x vs typical
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RPGMartial Arts
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Est. copies
≈ 466k–758k
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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≈ 108k–175k
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Very Positive
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