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How big is HoloCure - Save the Fans!?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
from 41k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid HoloCure - Save the Fans! and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including HoloCure - Save the Fans!'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 242k–618k
best case 2.4M (UNO)
Games like HoloCure - Save the Fans!

A typical game among these

≈ 242k–618k copies

≈ $1.8M–$3.4M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Action Roguelike (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: UNO at ≈ 1.9M–3.0M copies, ≈ $5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 761 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (3 of 8) and Bullet Hell (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Card Game + Tabletop, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Card Game + Tabletop + Board Game; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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2017
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≈ 1.9M–3.0M
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Seraph's Last Stand
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Est. copies
≈ 432k–701k
2.0x vs typical
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SteamSpy 200k–500k
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IndieAction
Rabi-Ribi
2016
Est. copies
≈ 511k–830k
1.6x vs typical
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Overwhelmingly Positive
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