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How big is World of Warships?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
from 157k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid World of Warships and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including World of Warships's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 245k–840k
best case 65.2M (War Thunder)
Games like World of Warships

A typical game among these

≈ 245k–840k copies

≈ $3.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: War Thunder at ≈ 49.7M–80.7M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (5 of 8) and Naval (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Vehicular Combat.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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War Thunder
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131x vs typical
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