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How big is Crossout?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
from 70k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Crossout and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Crossout's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–67k
best case 424k (Sprocket)
Games like Crossout

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–67k copies

≈ $3k–$838k after Steam's cut

from ~119 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Sprocket at ≈ 323k–525k copies, ≈ $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 2k reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Vehicular Combat (6 of 8) and Third-Person Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sandbox + Building, priced around $20.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Steel Rain - Dawn of the Machines
2021
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$41–$111 after Steam's cut $75–$170 before Steam's cut
$2.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
Third-Person ShooterAction
Tank Brawl 2: Armor Fury
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
56 reviews
Mixed
4 Player LocalPvP
Iron Jaw
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
74 reviews
Mixed
Action RoguelikeHero Shooter
Sprocket
2021
Est. copies
≈ 323k–525k
110x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessSandbox
Armored Warfare
2017
Est. copies
≈ 185k–301k
45x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Mixed
RealisticShooter
Void Warfare
2021
Est. copies
≈ 248–403
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
10 reviews
Mixed
ActionSingleplayer
Battle Riders
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$0.99
193 reviews
Mixed
Vehicular CombatRacing
Endgame: Road To Salvation
2021
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$13k–$36k after Steam's cut $24k–$55k before Steam's cut
$11.99
163 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessThird-Person Shooter

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.